Financial institution of America sends message on Capital One inventory

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Capital One Monetary has spent greater than a yr integrating Uncover whereas buyers watch whether or not the huge acquisition can translate into sooner development and stronger returns.

The newest month-to-month knowledge gave Wall Road a combined image. Capital One (COF) posted wholesome credit score tendencies in July, however development in its home card portfolio slowed from the prior month.

Financial institution of America continues to be sticking with the inventory.

In a observe given to TheStreet, BofA analyst Mihir Bhatia maintained a Purchase score and a $253 value goal on Capital One, representing 11.3% upside from the $227.34 share value used within the report.

Bhatia mentioned July’s working metrics remained wholesome total, pointing to stable credit score efficiency at the same time as card balances grew at a slower tempo.

Capital One card development slows in July

Capital One ended July with $258.9 billion in home bank card loans, in keeping with a submitting with the Securities and Alternate Fee. The portfolio’s annualized internet charge-off price was 4.12%, whereas the 30-day-plus performing delinquency price got here in at 3.48%.

BofA mentioned home card loans had been up 1.92% from a yr earlier, slowing from 2.58% development in June. Card balances have grown at round 2% for roughly the previous yr, in keeping with Bhatia.

The analyst doesn’t count on a significant acceleration till headwinds tied to the Uncover integration and associated borrow-out exercise start to clear. BofA is modeling end-of-period card loans to extend by about 1% sequentially within the third quarter.

That slowdown comes as Capital One continues working by its integration of Uncover. The corporate accomplished its acquisition in Could 2025, including the Uncover, PULSE, and Diners Membership Worldwide networks to its enterprise.

Capital One CEO Richard Fairbank mentioned in July that the Uncover integration was going properly, 14 months after the deal closed. The corporate reported $3 billion in second-quarter internet earnings, whereas complete internet income elevated 4% sequentially to $15.9 billion.

BofA analyst Mihir Bhatia maintained a Purchase score and a $253 value goal on Capital One.Cheng Xin through Getty Photos

Credit score tendencies give BofA extra confidence

Whereas card development has cooled, BofA sees credit score high quality shifting in a extra encouraging path.

Capital One’s home card internet charge-off price fell 26 foundation factors month over month in July. BofA famous that the decline was higher than the 20-basis-point common lower traditionally seen in July between 2013 and 2019.

Extra Finance

Delinquencies rose 10 foundation factors throughout the month, which BofA mentioned was consistent with historic seasonality. Bhatia is at present modeling home card internet charge-offs to fall one other 36 foundation factors sequentially within the third quarter to 4.35%.

Auto lending additionally offered a brighter development sign. Capital One reported $90.5 billion in period-end auto loans in July, with a 1.48% internet charge-off price and a 4.39% 30-day-plus delinquency price.

BofA mentioned auto balances elevated 12.05% from a yr earlier, accelerating from 11.62% development in June.

Financial institution of America sees upside in Capital One inventory

The mixture leaves BofA keen to look by slower card development for now.

Bhatia pointed to anticipated expense synergies, sturdy capital-return potential, and room for valuation upside as causes to stay constructive on Capital One. The financial institution’s $253 goal is predicated on a ten.5-times a number of of its 2027 earnings-per-share estimate.

That a number of sits towards the excessive finish of Capital One’s historic vary of roughly 7 to 11 occasions earnings, however BofA believes the premium is justified by anticipated synergy realization, an optimistic credit score outlook, buyback potential and a resilient cardholder base.

There are nonetheless dangers to the decision. BofA mentioned weaker revolving credit score development, a faltering financial restoration, and rising mortgage losses might stress earnings and valuation, whereas cybersecurity and regulatory points stay extra considerations.

For now, July’s outcomes depart BofA targeted on enhancing credit score tendencies and the potential advantages nonetheless forward from the Uncover integration, at the same time as Capital One’s core card development stays subdued.

Associated: Capital One breaks silence on shutting Trump Org. accounts

This story was initially revealed by TheStreet on Aug 20, 2026, the place it first appeared within the Investing part. Add TheStreet as a Most well-liked Supply by clicking right here.

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