NSDL nears itemizing deadline: How does the institutional big measure as much as CDSL’s retail surge?
Nationwide Securities Depository Ltd (NSDL), the nation’s oldest and largest depository by worth of belongings underneath custody, is nearing its much-anticipated inventory market debut, with Securities and Alternate Board of India (Sebi) mandating an inventory by the tip of July.
However whereas traders await readability on the ultimate date, comparisons with its nimbler rival Central Depository Providers Ltd (CDSL) have come into sharp focus, particularly after NSDL’s unlisted shares corrected practically 20% from their 52-week highs, at the same time as CDSL’s listed inventory rallied 45% over the previous 12 months.
In response to Bloomberg, NSDL is anticipated to begin taking investor orders as early as subsequent week, with the difficulty dimension scaled again to five.01 crore shares from an earlier proposed 5.73 crore. The IPO, which can increase as much as $500 million, might be a wholly offer-for-sale (OFS) problem from shareholders together with IDBI Financial institution, the Nationwide Inventory Alternate of India, and State Financial institution of India. NSDL is not going to obtain any proceeds from the IPO.
Institutional depth vs retail velocity
“The NSDL–CDSL divergence is a textbook case of differing enterprise fashions and market positioning,” stated Bhavik Joshi, Enterprise Head at INVasset PMS. “NSDL’s core power lies in its institutional dominance — with over 89% of India’s demat asset worth underneath custody, and deep integration with mutual funds, insurance coverage companies, and authorities securities.”
Joshi stated, “It additionally holds a powerful presence within the unlisted and pre-IPO ecosystem, which is poised for regulatory tailwinds as non-public market infrastructure evolves.”
CDSL, against this, has emerged as a retail powerhouse, particularly in the course of the current bull run. “CDSL has emerged because the poster little one for India’s retail financialization. Its nimble tech stack, aggressive pricing, and speedy onboarding have led to a dominant share of retail demat accounts,” stated Joshi. “Traders should distinguish between depth and breadth… CDSL, although extra retail-centric and cyclical, might supply stronger working leverage in upcycles.”
NSDL leads in worth, CDSL in quantity
NSDL leads throughout a number of institutional metrics. As of December 31, 2024, it had 64,535 issuers, greater than double CDSL’s 31,557. It additionally had 63,542 DP Service Centres (DPSCs), in comparison with 17,883 for CDSL. NSDL continues to dominate within the unlisted area as nicely, with 53,169 unlisted firms on its platform, versus 21,295 for CDSL.
In distinction, CDSL’s power lies within the variety of demat accounts held, 14.65 crore as of December 2024, far outpacing NSDL’s 3.88 crore. Whereas CDSL holds extra accounts, NSDL’s custody worth per account is considerably increased, averaging Rs 1.25 crore per account versus Rs 5 lakh for CDSL.
Unlisted market cools forward of itemizing
Within the unlisted market, NSDL shares have fallen from Rs 1,275 to round Rs 1,025 in current weeks. “The correction in NSDL’s unlisted share value forward of its IPO displays recalibration quite than structural weak point,” stated Joshi. “It isn’t unusual for pre-IPO valuations to regulate in response to listed peer benchmarks, altering market threat urge for food, and revised development expectations.”
“In NSDL’s case, the re-pricing appears pushed by three forces: softening investor expectations post-listing euphoria in CDSL, macro-level de-rating in tech-led monetary infrastructure names, and the absence of a recent major capital infusion to sign near-term development acceleration,” Joshi defined.
Nonetheless, he believes the long-term outlook stays strong. “If the IPO is priced conservatively relative to CDSL’s present valuations, the drawdown might serve to reset expectations — not undermine fundamentals.”
Fully an OFS: no recent capital
The IPO being completely an OFS has additionally prompted questions on promoter intent. “An IPO structured completely as an Supply for Sale (OFS) naturally raises questions on promoter conviction and reinvestment intent,” Joshi stated. “Whereas this doesn’t inherently sign an absence of religion, it does alter the narrative.”
“NSDL is a cash-generating enterprise with an extended runway of regulatory and ecosystem-driven tailwinds. Its development doesn’t essentially hinge on capital infusion,” he famous. Nonetheless, within the absence of recent capital, “the highlight shifts to governance high quality, working leverage, and dividend coverage.”
NSDL has already knowledgeable shareholders that each one pre-IPO fairness shares might be locked in beginning July 18, according to Sebi norms. MUFG Intime India has been appointed as registrar, and ICICI Securities, Axis Capital, HSBC Holdings, and IDBI Capital are lead managers to the difficulty.
CDSL rally: overdone or justified?
CDSL’s meteoric rise has raised considerations about whether or not valuations have overshot fundamentals. “CDSL’s rally over the previous 12 months mirrors the broader surge in retail market exercise, a secular rise in demat account openings, and increasing use-cases for depositories throughout asset courses,” stated Joshi.
However he cautioned, “A big a part of CDSL’s revenues stays market-linked — from company actions, transactions, and float earnings — all of that are prone to market cycles.”
“If the present rally is pricing in uninterrupted quantity development, report IPO flows, and a persistently bullish retail setting, then there’s threat of overextension,” he stated. Nonetheless, long-term structural drivers stay intact, together with SEBI’s push for dematerialisation and broader digital adoption.
Who’s higher positioned for what comes subsequent?
Wanting past the itemizing, the medium-term development alternative for each depositories lies in increasing into new asset courses.
“The following part of development for depositories lies past fairness markets,” stated Joshi. “Medium-term alternatives embody dematerialisation of insurance coverage insurance policies, instructional certificates, sovereign gold bonds, and even tokenised belongings.”
CDSL is prone to profit extra from the continued growth of the retail investor base, due to its faster onboarding processes, wider integration with companions, and versatile tech structure. NSDL, then again, is best positioned to steer on the institutional entrance, notably in managing advanced asset courses and large-scale recordkeeping, owing to its long-standing relationships and institutional experience, in response to Joshi.
Additionally learn | NSDL IPO set to open quickly: Unlisted share value down 20% from peak. Listed below are 7 issues to be careful for
“Whereas CDSL has the retail velocity and model recall, NSDL brings depth, belief, and compliance power,” Joshi stated. “The expansion runway is giant sufficient for each to scale — however the market will reward whoever leads the transition from compliance infrastructure to monetary infrastructure utility.”
(Disclaimer: Suggestions, options, views and opinions given by the specialists are their very own. These don’t signify the views of the Financial Occasions)
