Turkey seen enjoying double post-war position
After the low reached by relations between Israel and Turkey up to now two years, together with an nearly full halt to commerce, will we see a return to regular with the top of the struggle within the Gaza Strip? What are the pursuits at the moment guiding Turkey, which on the one hand was concerned in pressuring Hamas to conform to the US plan for a ceasefire and the return of the hostages, and then again desires to see Hamas survive?
“For Turkey, protecting Hamas as a part of the Palestinian political setup is a crucial curiosity,” explains Dr. Gallia Lindenstrauss, a senior analysis fellow on the Institute for Nationwide Safety Research (INSS). “On the similar time, Turkey appears to be like upon Israel as a participant that has turn out to be too robust and must be restrained, that might even attain Turkey if it’s not stopped.
“So far as Israel is worried, it’s not fascinating that Turkey needs to be a part of the negotiation mechanism vis-à-vis Hamas, however the US compelled this on it. Trump sees Erdogan as a frontrunner who can ship the products, somebody with whom he can do enterprise, as evidenced by the truth that Turkey was concerned within the talks to finish the struggle, and an settlement was certainly achieved.”
As as to if Turkey will proceed to help Hamas, Lindenstrauss says, “That is one factor about which Erdogan has all the time been constant. Turkey hosts Hamas individuals and permits Hamas to smuggle money. In that sense, Turkey is essential to Hamas’s survival, and it additionally has levers of stress on the group.
“The questions nonetheless remaining relate to implementation of the levels of the settlement on demilitarization of the Gaza Strip. Will Hamas nonetheless have weapons? Will Hamas be a part of the administration of the Gaza Strip the day after, whether or not publicly or behind the scenes? In my view, Turkey will proceed to press for Hamas to be a part of the image in a manner that could be very problematic for Israel in the long run.”
What do you suppose are the purple traces that Israel ought to insist upon in relation between Turkey and Hamas any further?
“Turkey has all the time claimed that it solely helps the political facet of Hamas, not its navy wing. If Turkey permits Hamas to behave militarily in opposition to Israel, even from Syrian territory, Israel will clearly must act determinedly. I might advise Israel to not enable a state of affairs by which the worldwide power that arises within the Gaza Strip consists of the Turkish military. That will be a gap to huge bother in a while. It’s a must to have in mind {that a} president sits within the White Home who’s a fan of Erdogan and thinks that he is among the individuals who types out the Center East for him.”
Is there hope of business relations getting again on observe? Of a restoration of the flights?
“There are studies that Turkish Airways desires to resume its flights to Ben Gurion Airport. It may very well be that among the commerce shall be restored. The explanation for that’s that the Turks perceive that affect on the Palestinian situation goes through entry to Israel from Ben Gurion Airport. For that to occur, there must be regular working relations with Israel. Subsequently, all by the struggle, Turkey didn’t break off diplomatic relations with Israel. Formally talking, the ambassadors might return to Ankara and Tel Aviv tomorrow morning. If issues transfer in a constructive route in the direction of rehabilitation of the Gaza Strip, I see Turkey restoring flights to Israel, and, to some extent, commerce as properly.
“Turkey may even need to be concerned in rehabilitating the Gaza Strip, since loads of worldwide cash will apparently be invested within the mission, and corporations concerned in rehabilitation and building might achieve an excellent deal.”
Revealed by Globes, Israel enterprise information – en.globes.co.il – on October 12, 2025.
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