Analyst who known as the 2022 crypto crash warns of latest ‘black swan’

The pseudonymous crypto dealer “Capo of Crypto”, recognized amongst retail merchants for appropriately predicting the 2022 capitulation, says this week’s carnage could also be solely the opening act.

In a brand new market word on Oct. 11, Capo warned that the Oct. 10 crash is a “pre–Black Swan occasion,” arguing that altcoins have suffered “historic capitulation,” but a number of majors “nonetheless haven’t absolutely flushed.”

He added that whereas Bitcoin (BTC) stays above $100,000, that stage “is way from the $60,000 to $70,000 space that may align with a whole correction,” implying that “draw back potential stays vital” earlier than a sturdy base varieties.

Associated: Over $19 billion liquidated in worst crypto crash since COVID

Capo’s warning comes amid a violent macro shock, as Donald Trump’s announcement of 100% tariffs on China triggered a sweeping risk-off transfer.

Bitcoin depraved as little as $102,000 on one main futures pair, whereas spot markets briefly slipped underneath $110,000. Main altcoins together with Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), XRP and Dogecoin (DOGE) cratered between 15% and 30% as over $7 billion in leveraged longs have been liquidated inside hours.

On Oct. 10, Trump wrote on Fact Social:

“It has simply been discovered that China has taken an awfully aggressive place on Commerce in sending a particularly hostile letter to the World, stating that they have been going to, efficient November 1, 2025, impose large-scale Export Controls on just about each product they make.”

Capo believes the “wicks ought to ultimately be stuffed,” suggesting that costs might revisit the flash-crash lows as soon as conventional markets reopen and reassess the tariff path.

He additionally flagged “structural cracks” in legacy markets that, underneath the improper circumstances, might set off “short-lived international disruptions that shake confidence in core techniques — a reset earlier than the subsequent section begins.”

In easier phrases, 100% tariffs on China made international traders panic about increased prices, slower commerce, and weaker development. That type of information pushes cash out of dangerous belongings like crypto and shares and into safer ones just like the U.S. greenback or bonds.

As merchants rushed to promote, Bitcoin and altcoins crashed laborious, particularly since many traders have been utilizing leverage (borrowed cash). These compelled liquidations made costs fall even quicker, turning a traditional sell-off right into a full-blown crypto market crash.

Within the close to time period, he expects a “transient consolidation over the weekend,” adopted by “extra draw back” as liquidity returns subsequent week.

A “black swan” occasion refers to an surprising, high-impact incidence that catches markets off guard, such because the 2008 monetary disaster, the 2020 COVID crash, or FTX’s collapse, typically triggering widespread panic and volatility.

For the uniniated, Capo of Crypto is a pseudonymous market analyst and dealer recognized for his bearish macro calls. Capo’s credibility amongst merchants stems from his 2022 bear-market calls, in the course of the FTX collapse, he publicly predicted a BTC capitulation zone within the $13,000 to $14,000 vary and warned of a ultimate “nuke” in altcoins, each of which materialized.

Associated: Whale luggage $160M by shorting forward of Trump’s China tariff

On the morning of Oct. 11 (ET) 9 A.M, complete crypto market capitalization hovered round $3.86 trillion, up modestly from intraday lows however nonetheless nursing a 24-hour drawdown. Bitcoin clawed again to the low $110,000s, whereas Ether rebounded to the mid $3,800s.

In line with CoinGlass information, over $19.3 billion in crypto positions have been liquidated previously 24 hours, one of many largest wipeouts on document, as practically 1.67 million merchants have been compelled out. Longs made up over 85% of the losses, led by Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).

This story was initially reported by TheStreet on Oct 11, 2025, the place it first appeared within the Enterprise Information part. Add TheStreet as a Most popular Supply by clicking right here.